DeMarco Murray‘s workload last season was nothing short of absurd. Averaging over 1,800 yards and 13 touchdowns, Murray had almost 400 carries, an inconceivable feat. While fantasy owners of Murray rejoiced everywhere, it’s not wise to expect the same results for a second consecutive season. That level of production puts an extreme amount of wear-and-tear on a running back’s body, so be aware that drafting Murray as a number one back in the first round is asking for trouble and a world of disappointment.
I don’t like the idea of Murray being picked up any earlier than mid second round. Backs like Eddie Lacy and Matt Forte are much smarter picks and common sense first round grabs; while they didn’t have a 2014 like Murray (no one did) their raw talent and solid position within their organizations gives them a leg up and a sense of comfort and dependency.
Based solely on the stress of last season’s high workload, Murray could potentially lose 25 percent of his fantasy production and be at a higher risk for injury. Not to mention he will be forced to assimilate in a new organization with a different style of offense and a different offensive line, as well as split carries with former Saints RB Darren Sproles, who is great at playing the role of receiving back. And Ryan Mathews will also be vying for carries as long as he remains healthy. Philadelphia Eagles coach Chip Kelly may try to preserve Murray as a prized workhorse, put his faith in Sproles and Mathews, and reduce Murray’s carries for the hopes of postseason success and a prolonged healthy career.
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