I must apologize for waiting this long to share the 2015 fantasy football schedule numbers, and while I understand some of you likely have lives outside of fantasy football, probably like fantasy MLB and NBA, I know many of you don’t believe in an offseason.
In fact, for a lot of us the offseason is as highly involved as anything, between research, mock drafts, and the ever-growing best ball MFL10 leagues. This includes not only projecting players for 2016 production but also ranking said players versus one another, so when draft day rolls around you can make the difficult decisions and tiebreakers.
One of the keys to putting the final season fantasy totals into perspective, at least by position, are the schedule rankings. It is something you pay attention to week in and week out, especially if you have difficult lineup decisions to make, so knowing how players fared in those difficult or easier matchups is important.
Below is a list of how teams ranked in terms of fantasy points allowed to the different fantasy positions. Rank number “1” represents the team that allowed the fewest points to the position, while rank number “32” represents the team that allowed the most.
Points Allowed – 2015
|TEAM||RANK VS QB||RANK VS RB||RANK VS WR||RANK VS TE|
Now I know these ranks don’t do much for us now that the season is over, but they do lead us to the strength of schedule numbers we are looking for. We can take the average of a team or player’s schedule based on the numbers above, and from there we can see how tough or easy their matchups were.
The list below provides schedule ranks based on opponents’ fantasy points allowed per position. Similar to above, rank number “1” represents the most difficult schedule in terms of points allowed to the position by the team’s opponents, while rank number “32” represents the most favorable schedule for a given position.
Strength of Schedule – 2015
|TEAM||OPP. RANK VS QB||OPP. RANK VS RB||OPP. RANK VS WR||OPP. RANK VS TE|
This is where the conclusions can really begin to be drawn. For example, look at Drew Brees. He had the toughest schedule based on opponents points allowed to quarterbacks. This leads me to believe, even without looking at his 2016 schedule, that we have seen his floor in terms of fantasy points. Of course there are more factors to back him a fantasy player on the rise, like his new weapons and a full year of adjusting to life without Jimmy Graham, but I am just here to get you started.
That’s not to say you can’t predict some trends to continue. Much like years past, you can likely predict running backs in the AFC East will continue to have a difficult schedule, as they will have six games against some of the least generous defenses against the run. You know you can also expect receivers in the NFC East to get to at least six games against teams that have allowed among the most fantasy points to receivers.
There is still a need to see the 2016 schedule ranks before making more decisions on projecting players for next year, not to mention all the factors that will inevitably change how many points defenses will allow. We will continue discussing and weighing those changes, as they pertain to our projections throughout the offseason, so be sure to check back for further analysis